Ethereum outshines Bitcoin as the Merge approaches – The Average Joe

    Ethereum outshines Bitcoin as the Merge approaches

    Victor Lei — Head of Research

    September 7, 2022

    September 7, 2022

    Bitcoin’s feeling a bit left out with investors focused on Ethereum ($ETH), outperforming Bitcoin ($BTC) in 2022. This week, Bitcoin briefly traded below $19,000, bringing it closer to its $17,600 low in June.

    Bitcoin isn’t getting an upgrade… Ethereum is. In recent months, attention has shifted towards Ethereum’s upcoming network upgrade, The Merge.

    • Over the past month, $ETH has been down 2% while $BTC is down 16%.
    • In comparison, the S&P 500 is down 4%.

    Traders are positioning for the Merge, and $ETH could likely continue to outperform $BTC as we enter the Merge — expected September 13-15.

    Where will crypto move in the next month? Just ask the stock market.

    Looking forward: Per Kevin Loo of IDEG Asset Management (BBG) — “the macro narrative… will drive risk assets,” and “it’s likely that we could actually go slightly lower.”

    Like the S&P 500, September has historically been the worst month for Bitcoin. But this month, market moves are largely dominated by two key events:

    • The August inflation report on September 13.
    • The expected Fed rate hike on September 21.

    Any moves are likely to be short-lived until after these events — which will give investors more clarity on the path of interest rate hikes.

    Catch up: The Merge: Is it priced in, what happens after and what are the risks?

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