Target reminds us why a healthy balance of value-growth stocks is important – The Average Joe
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    Target reminds us why a healthy balance of value-growth stocks is important


    March 2, 2022


    Here’s big box retailer Target reminding us why a healthy balance of value-growth stocks is important.

    5 years later, Target’s investments have paid off…

    While Target didn’t have the big gains like high growth stocks (while it lasted), it benefited from being an essential business — beating the S&P 500 in the past two years. Now it’s trying to carry its growth past the pandemic.

    Yesterday, Target reported a strong 2022 outlook and 12% earnings growth (ahead of estimates) — sending its stock up 10%.

    It’s also investing $5B this year to scale operations — similar to its $7B of investments into digital and store growth 5 years ago. How’s it performed since? Not bad.

    • 5 year return: 282% total return (33% compounded annually) — despite being down 15% from November — on top of paying a 1.6% dividend.
    • This time, investors reacted differently to the investment announcement — whereas back in 2017, the stock fell 12%.

    Clever tactics to attract store traffic…

    Target can thank its clever strategy for its sales growth — its stores resembling mini malls:

    • Featuring partners like Starbucks, Ulta Beauty and Disney (among others) within it.
    • Rolling out its successful ear-piercing services to 200 stores.

    Reel ‘em in with Starbucks… Hook ‘em with its own private brands — which are cheaper for consumers and more profitable for Target — and made up ~⅓ of Target’s 2021 sales.

    Stores with Ulta shops also see stronger sales in beauty and adjacent categories. It’s all incredibly well thought out.

    Don’t forget digital: Target is also investing in its same-day delivery and curbside pickup services — which tripled in the past two years. Last year, Target opened its first “sortation center” — warehouses using automation to pack orders — and plans to have six by April.

    Investors: 2022 will be tough, even for Target

    Retailers face a tough consumer environment in 2022 — with inflation and now WWIII concerns impacting spending.

    • A tight labor market is forcing Target to raise wages and employee benefits.
    • Supply chain issues and inflation are hitting the bottom line — but large retailers like Target and Walmart are managing better than small retailers.

    To compete, Target is keeping prices low despite rising inflation — price increases being a last resort. If investors have learned anything in the past few months, it’s — don’t underestimate inflation.

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