Apple plans to launch self-driving cars — does this matter for investors? -

Apple plans to launch self-driving cars — does this matter for investors?

December 29, 2020

Project Titan — the secretive electric car unit that Apple launched in 2014 is back in the news.

The project struggled over the years but last week, it was leaked that Apple would make a push to launch its own self-driving car by 2024.

  • In 2015, Apple had hired ~1,000 employees to build its own self-driving technology.
  • By 2019, it seemed unlikely that Apple would launch its own self-driving car — laying off 200 Titan employees.

Self-driving cars are (almost) here

Auto experts are predicting that robotaxis won’t be available until 2025 and self-driving cars won’t be sold for another decade.

But in certain parts of the US, self-driving vehicles are much closer than you’d expect.

  • Waymo (owned by Google), the leader in self-driving cars, launched its fully autonomous ride-hailing service in Oct. in select parts of Phoenix.
  • Lyft is aiming to launch a fully autonomous fleet of robotaxis by 2023.

Building an autonomous car requires years of road tests and Apple has lagged behind in product development and testing. In 2019, Apple’s self-driving test cars logged 7,544 miles while competitor, Waymo, logged over 1.45m miles.

Throw money and engineers at the problem

It took 17 years for Tesla to reach profitability and building cars is no easy task. Building a car manufacturing network is complex and doing it profitably is even more difficult.

But if anyone can pull it off, it just might be Apple — who has over $38b in cash and thousands of engineers to throw at the problem.

Another advantage for Apple — its expertise in battery designs. According to Reuters, Apple is reportedly building a battery design that could “radically” reduce the cost of batteries and increase vehicle range.

For investors… Self-driving skeptics

Market analysts are skeptical of Apple’s autonomous car and so should you…

Ming-Chi Kuo, a closely watched Apple analyst, believes that the launch date could be closer to 2028 and Apple’s tech could be too far behind to be competitive.

Jim Cuva, Citi analyst, is doubtful that Apple will actually produce a car and the project just might be another one of its R&D into different areas.

But don’t discount Apple just yet. Whether Apple’s self-driving car is successful or not, its stock, which has increased over 25% since Oct., could see a big push from its new Mac processors.

Learn more: Apple’s stock could go up and it won’t be powered by its self-driving car.